Long US 10-year Treasuries

Stopped out US 10-year Treasury yield United States, Rates Sample

  • Result−29 bpClosed Sep 29, 2026
  • In units of risk−1.02RResult compared with the distance to the stop. +1R made as much as it risked
  • Entry 4.97 Sep 22, 2026
  • Exit5.26Target 4.60, stop 5.25
Sep 15Sep 29 Stop 5.25 Entry 4.97 Target 4.60 Sep 15Sep 29 Stop 5.25 Entry 4.97 Target 4.60

Daily closes from Yahoo Finance (^TNX).

The call

Position
Long the bond (short the US 10-year Treasury yield)
Opened
September 21, 2026
Horizon
6 months, until March 21, 2027
Confidence
55%
Entry rule
First daily close after the call was opened

Rationale

Easing inflation gives the Fed room to cut, pulling long yields lower.

Ledger record

Sample calls are not recorded in the ledger.

Verify the whole ledger

Thesis

Two Speeds Why the rest of Latin America disinflated and Bolivia did not